Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.073890 0.079293 0.084922 0.091232 0.098115 0.105406 0.113724
2025-11-30 0.064323 0.072346 0.081191 0.091701 0.103896 0.117655 0.134432
2025-12-07 0.055847 0.065110 0.075776 0.089045 0.105219 0.124432 0.149189
2025-12-14 0.048909 0.058652 0.070265 0.085254 0.104271 0.127844 0.159663
2025-12-21 0.044540 0.054719 0.067218 0.083876 0.105774 0.133971 0.173673
2025-12-28 0.042070 0.052835 0.066417 0.085065 0.110403 0.144227 0.193823
2026-01-04 0.039810 0.050976 0.065407 0.085754 0.114240 0.153537 0.213361
2026-01-11 0.037353 0.048640 0.063535 0.085029 0.115930 0.159832 0.228968
2026-01-18 0.035353 0.046755 0.062096 0.084722 0.118069 0.166788 0.246055
2026-01-25 0.033203 0.044511 0.059988 0.083256 0.118319 0.170850 0.258885
2026-02-01 0.031010 0.042069 0.057435 0.080932 0.117050 0.172397 0.267677
2026-02-08 0.029233 0.040113 0.055448 0.079288 0.116644 0.175165 0.278613
2026-02-15 0.027593 0.038300 0.053613 0.077821 0.116506 0.178504 0.291161
2026-02-22 0.026683 0.037506 0.053236 0.078563 0.119935 0.187953 0.315463
2026-03-01 0.025107 0.035642 0.051147 0.076482 0.118594 0.189264 0.325142
2026-03-08 0.023396 0.033494 0.048514 0.073365 0.115297 0.186918 0.327689
2026-03-15 0.022297 0.032221 0.047161 0.072230 0.115252 0.190231 0.341366
2026-03-22 0.021775 0.031807 0.047117 0.073228 0.118926 0.200462 0.369775
2026-03-29 0.021194 0.031267 0.046840 0.073805 0.121879 0.209589 0.396985
2026-04-05 0.020397 0.030350 0.045907 0.073201 0.122651 0.214646 0.416201
2026-04-12 0.019724 0.029598 0.045204 0.072944 0.124022 0.220941 0.438795
2026-04-19 0.018898 0.028567 0.043991 0.071720 0.123495 0.223437 0.453192
2026-04-26 0.017983 0.027353 0.042423 0.069778 0.121476 0.222768 0.460247